Derby vs Lincoln

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Derby favourites at 42% (Lincoln 35%, draw 23%). Lincoln come in with the better recent form (6 wins from 10 to 4), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 49% and both teams scoring at 54%. Lincoln won 2-1, against the model's 42% for Derby.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 20 Jan 2024, when it finished 0-0.