Cardiff vs Lincoln

Match preview

The model makes Cardiff favourites at 54% (Lincoln 27%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.09 to 1.43 and Cardiff sitting 14th in the table to Lincoln's 21st. Lincoln lead the head-to-head 3-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 58%.

Key facts

• Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Cardiff's last 10 matches and 7 of Lincoln's.
• Cardiff have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
• Cardiff average 3 goals a game at home.
• Lincoln have lost 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 7 Mar 2026, when Lincoln won 2-0.