Coventry vs Newcastle

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Newcastle favourites at 70% (Coventry 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.17 to 0.77 and 7 wins from the last 7 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 52%. Coventry won 4-1, against the model's 70% for Newcastle.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 17 Feb 2010, when Newcastle won 4-1.