Cottbus vs Nurnberg

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Nurnberg favourites at 76% (Cottbus 11%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.92 to 1.03, 7 wins in Nurnberg's last 10 matches to 2 for Cottbus and 4 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 13%.

Key facts before the match

• Nurnberg are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 31 May 2009, when Nurnberg won 2-0.