Burgos CF vs Ceuta

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Burgos CF favourites at 61% (Ceuta 18%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.79. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 41%. Burgos CF won 3-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Ceuta have lost 4 matches in a row.
• They last met on 1 Apr 2026, when it finished 1-1.