Football · LaLiga2 · Spain
Ceuta vs Gijon
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Gijon favourites at 69% (Ceuta 13%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 1.97 to 0.69, Gijon sitting 7th in the table to Ceuta's 21st and 6 wins in Gijon's last 10 matches to 1 for Ceuta. Bookmakers give Gijon about 36% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 50% and both teams scoring at 44%.
Key facts
- Ceuta have lost 3 matches in a row.
- They last met on 3 May 2026, when Ceuta won 2-1.
Spain•LaLiga2
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 18:15
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 1-0-1
Last 10 matches
1010
9/2011/13
0.901.10
2.001.30
7/106/10
1/103/10
10/107/10
7/104/10
0/103/10
3/104/10
10/106/10
6/104/10
7/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Ceuta at homeGijon away
65
1/63/5
1/60/5
4/62/5
1.001.00
1.671.40
4/63/5
1/61/5
1/61/5
6/63/5
4/62/5
0/62/5
2/62/5
3/62/5
4/61/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Ceuta: 0.69
Expected Goals
Gijon: 1.97
Ceuta
13%
Draw
18%
Gijon
69%
Over 2.5: 50%
BTTS: 44%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 11.3%
1 — Ceuta
2.50
Implied 36%
Edge -23.0%
X
3.20
Implied 28%
Edge -10.1%
2 — Gijon
2.50
Implied 36%
Edge +33.0%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Ceuta · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Cadiz cf#18 vs Ceuta#21
3-1L
18 Oct2026
Ceuta#21 vs Oviedo#8
1-2L
10 Oct2026
Ceuta#21 vs Sabadell#10
1-2L
04 Oct2026
Castellon#1 vs Ceuta#21
1-1D
26 Sept2026
Ceuta#21 vs Real Sociedad b#20
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Ceuta#21 vs Valladolid#15
1-1D
11 Sept2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Ceuta#21
3-1L
05 Sept2026
Ceuta#21 vs Celta Vigo b#16
0-2L
30 Aug2026
Mallorca#6 vs Ceuta#21
3-0L
22 Aug2026
Ceuta#21 vs Las Palmas#14
0-2L
Team 2 Form
Gijon · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Castellon#1 vs Gijon#7
4-0L
17 Oct2026
Gijon#7 vs Albacete#22
2-1W
11 Oct2026
Cadiz cf#18 vs Gijon#7
0-1W
04 Oct2026
Gijon#7 vs Celta Vigo b#16
3-2W
27 Sept2026
Oviedo#8 vs Gijon#7
2-0L
19 Sept2026
Andorra#19 vs Gijon#7
1-3W
13 Sept2026
Gijon#7 vs Eldense#13
0-1L
05 Sept2026
Gijon#7 vs Girona#4
0-2L
28 Aug2026
Tenerife#12 vs Gijon#7
0-1W
23 Aug2026
Gijon#7 vs Burgos cf#9
1-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
03 May2026
Gijon#7 vs Ceuta#21
1-2•
23 Aug2025
Ceuta#21 vs Gijon#7
0-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Ceuta
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