Football · LaLiga2 · Spain
Burgos CF vs Castellon
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Castellon favourites at 68% (Burgos CF 12%, draw 20%). That rests on expected goals of 1.80 to 0.55, Castellon sitting 1st in the table to Burgos CF's 9th, 7 wins in Castellon's last 10 matches to 5 for Burgos CF and 3 wins from the last 4 meetings to 0. Bookmakers give Castellon about 43% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 46% and both teams scoring at 39%.
Key facts
- Castellon kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 18 Apr 2026, when Castellon won 3-1.
Spain•LaLiga2
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 20:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 0-1-3
Last 10 matches
1010
13/1021/4
1.302.10
1.000.40
7/108/10
4/107/10
7/104/10
3/100/10
3/106/10
3/102/10
5/108/10
5/105/10
5/103/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Burgos cf at homeCastellon away
55
3/54/5
1/50/5
1/51/5
1.401.80
0.800.60
4/54/5
2/54/5
1/51/5
3/53/5
1/50/5
2/52/5
1/51/5
2/53/5
2/52/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Burgos cf: 0.55
Expected Goals
Castellon: 1.8
Burgos cf
12%
Draw
20%
Castellon
68%
Over 2.5: 46%
BTTS: 39%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 10.2%
1 — Burgos CF
3.10▼
Implied 29%
Edge -17.3%
X
3.30
Implied 28%
Edge -7.5%
2 — Castellon
2.10▲
Implied 43%
Edge +24.8%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Burgos cf · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
Andorra#19 vs Burgos cf#9
2-3W
18 Oct2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Sabadell#10
1-0W
12 Oct2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Granada cf#5
0-1L
03 Oct2026
Almeria#2 vs Burgos cf#9
2-1L
27 Sept2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Eldense#13
1-0W
20 Sept2026
Las Palmas#14 vs Burgos cf#9
1-2W
11 Sept2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Ceuta#21
3-1W
06 Sept2026
Oviedo#8 vs Burgos cf#9
0-0D
31 Aug2026
Burgos cf#9 vs Real Sociedad b#20
2-2D
23 Aug2026
Gijon#7 vs Burgos cf#9
1-0L
Team 2 Form
Castellon · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Castellon#1 vs Gijon#7
4-0W
17 Oct2026
Las Palmas#14 vs Castellon#1
0-3W
11 Oct2026
Andorra#19 vs Castellon#1
1-0L
04 Oct2026
Castellon#1 vs Ceuta#21
1-1D
28 Sept2026
Leganes#17 vs Castellon#1
0-2W
19 Sept2026
Castellon#1 vs Tenerife#12
5-0W
12 Sept2026
Girona#4 vs Castellon#1
1-2W
06 Sept2026
Castellon#1 vs Albacete#22
2-0W
31 Aug2026
Celta Vigo b#16 vs Castellon#1
1-2W
23 Aug2026
Castellon#1 vs Sabadell#10
0-0D
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
18 Apr2026
Castellon#1 vs Burgos cf#9
3-1•
10 Nov2025
Burgos cf#9 vs Castellon#1
0-0•
01 Mar2025
Castellon#1 vs Burgos cf#9
2-1•
01 Sept2024
Burgos cf#9 vs Castellon#1
0-2•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Burgos cf
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