Bolton vs Stoke

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Stoke favourites at 49% (Bolton 29%, draw 22%). That rests on expected goals of 1.68 to 1.24 and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 52%. Stoke won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Stoke are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 30 Jul 2024, when Stoke won 1-0.