Birmingham vs Bolton

Match preview

The model makes Birmingham favourites at 65% (Bolton 18%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.31 to 1.10, Birmingham sitting 7th in the table to Bolton's 18th and 5 wins in Birmingham's last 10 matches to 3 for Bolton. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 51%.

Key facts

• Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Birmingham's last 10 matches and 7 of Bolton's.
• Birmingham have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
• They last met on 4 Mar 2025, when Bolton won 3-1.
• Only 1 of the last 10 meetings had three or more goals.
• Bolton concede 2.2 goals a game away from home.