Football · Championship · England
Bolton vs Bristol City
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Bristol City favourites at 55% (Bolton 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.77 to 1.06 and Bristol City sitting 14th in the table to Bolton's 18th. Bookmakers give Bristol City about 40% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 52%.
Key facts
- They last met on 25 Jan 2019, when Bristol City won 2-1.
England•Championship
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 18:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 4-2-4
Last 10 matches
1010
14/2210/10
1.401.00
2.201.00
7/106/10
4/103/10
8/107/10
6/101/10
2/103/10
3/104/10
7/105/10
7/103/10
6/104/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Bolton at homeBristol City away
56
1/53/6
0/52/6
4/51/6
1.001.50
2.201.17
4/55/6
1/53/6
0/51/6
4/54/6
3/51/6
1/52/6
1/51/6
3/53/6
3/54/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Bolton: 1.06
Expected Goals
Bristol City: 1.77
Bolton
24%
Draw
21%
Bristol City
55%
Over 2.5: 55%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.8%
1 — Bolton
2.80▲
Implied 33%
Edge -9.1%
X
3.50
Implied 27%
Edge -5.5%
2 — Bristol City
2.30▼
Implied 40%
Edge +14.7%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Bolton · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
Bolton#18 vs Middlesbrough#1
1-5L
17 Oct2026
Southampton#6 vs Bolton#18
0-0D
13 Oct2026
Wolves#4 vs Bolton#18
1-3W
10 Oct2026
Bolton#18 vs Stoke#9
1-2L
20 Sept2026
Norwich#20 vs Bolton#18
3-4W
12 Sept2026
Bolton#18 vs Cardiff#16
1-0W
08 Sept2026
Bolton#18 vs West Ham#3
2-3L
05 Sept2026
Millwall#13 vs Bolton#18
4-0L
01 Sept2026
Sheffield Utd#12 vs Bolton#18
3-2L
29 Aug2026
Bolton#18 vs Lincoln#15
0-1L
Team 2 Form
Bristol City · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
Stoke#9 vs Bristol City#14
0-0D
17 Oct2026
Bristol City#14 vs Sheffield Utd#12
0-1L
13 Oct2026
Bristol City#14 vs Blackburn#10
0-1L
10 Oct2026
Charlton#19 vs Bristol City#14
1-1D
03 Oct2026
Crystal Palace#17 vs Bristol City#14
0-2W
18 Sept2026
Bristol City#14 vs Watford#21
1-0W
15 Sept2026
Bristol City#14 vs Lincoln#15
0-1L
12 Sept2026
Southampton#6 vs Bristol City#14
4-1L
05 Sept2026
Burnley#22 vs Bristol City#14
1-2W
01 Sept2026
Preston#24 vs Bristol City#14
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
25 Jan2019
Bristol City#14 vs Bolton#18
2-1•
12 Jan2019
Bristol City#14 vs Bolton#18
2-1•
11 Aug2018
Bolton#18 vs Bristol City#14
2-2•
02 Feb2018
Bolton#18 vs Bristol City#14
1-0•
26 Sept2017
Bristol City#14 vs Bolton#18
2-0•
19 Mar2016
Bristol City#14 vs Bolton#18
6-0•
07 Nov2015
Bolton#18 vs Bristol City#14
0-0•
13 Apr2013
Bristol City#14 vs Bolton#18
1-2•
20 Oct2012
Bolton#18 vs Bristol City#14
3-2•
13 Apr2099
Bolton#18 vs Bristol City#14
1-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Bolton
Prediction alerts
Know when the next pick goes live.
Email requires confirmation. Telegram requires pressing Start. Unsubscribe any time.
Explore more matches and live updates on the Football board.