Birmingham vs Wolves

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Wolves favourites at 62% (Birmingham 20%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.20 to 1.16, 7 wins in Wolves's last 10 matches to 5 for Birmingham and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 54%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 18%.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 15 Apr 2018, when Wolves won 2-0.