Birmingham vs Bristol City

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Birmingham favourites at 61% (Bristol City 18%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.75 to 0.82, 7 wins in Birmingham's last 10 matches to 3 for Bristol City and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 47% and both teams scoring at 44%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 21%.

Key facts before the match

• Birmingham are unbeaten in 10 matches.
• They last met on 25 Apr 2026, when Birmingham won 2-1.