Football · LaLiga · Spain
Barcelona vs Real Madrid
Sunday, 25 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Barcelona favourites at 72% (Real Madrid 15%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 3.36 to 1.57 and 7 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. Bookmakers give Barcelona about 59% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 87% and both teams scoring at 77%.
Key facts
- Real Madrid have won 4 matches in a row.
- Over 2.5 goals came in 10 of Barcelona's last 10 matches and 8 of Real Madrid's.
- Barcelona scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- Both teams scored in 8 of Barcelona's last 10 matches and 7 of Real Madrid's.
- Barcelona are 1st in LaLiga on 27 points from 9 games; Real Madrid are 3rd on 21.
Spain•LaLiga
vs
Sunday, 25 October 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 7-0-3
Last 10 matches
1010
43/1527/12
4.302.70
1.501.20
10/109/10
10/107/10
8/108/10
5/103/10
2/102/10
0/101/10
10/108/10
10/108/10
8/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Barcelona at homeReal Madrid away
44
4/42/4
0/40/4
0/42/4
5.002.00
1.252.00
4/43/4
4/42/4
4/42/4
3/44/4
2/43/4
1/40/4
0/41/4
4/43/4
3/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Barcelona: 3.36
Expected Goals
Real Madrid: 1.57
Barcelona
72%
Draw
13%
Real Madrid
15%
Over 2.5: 87%
BTTS: 77%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 5.2%
1 — Barcelona
1.60
Implied 59%
Edge +12.6%
X
5.30▲
Implied 18%
Edge -4.9%
2 — Real Madrid
4.20▼
Implied 23%
Edge -7.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Barcelona · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
Psg#2 vs Barcelona#1
4-2L
17 Oct2026
Betis#4 vs Barcelona#1
2-5W
13 Oct2026
Galatasaray#1 vs Barcelona#1
1-4W
10 Oct2026
Barcelona#1 vs Getafe#15
3-0W
19 Sept2026
Sevilla#6 vs Barcelona#1
1-3W
16 Sept2026
Barcelona#1 vs Racing Santander#17
7-2W
13 Sept2026
Levante#11 vs Barcelona#1
2-4W
09 Sept2026
Barcelona#1 vs Feyenoord#1
5-1W
06 Sept2026
Valencia#19 vs Barcelona#1
0-5W
31 Aug2026
Barcelona#1 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
5-2W
Team 2 Form
Real Madrid · # = league position now
21 Oct2026
Real Madrid#3 vs rb Leipzig#7
4-1W
18 Oct2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Sevilla#6
4-1W
14 Oct2026
as Roma#3 vs Real Madrid#3
3-4W
10 Oct2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Villarreal#12
1-0W
20 Sept2026
Atl. Madrid#2 vs Real Madrid#3
2-1L
15 Sept2026
Elche#18 vs Real Madrid#3
2-3W
12 Sept2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Rayo Vallecano#14
4-1W
08 Sept2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Inter#1
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Betis#4 vs Real Madrid#3
1-0L
30 Aug2026
Real Madrid#3 vs Malaga#20
4-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
10 May2026
Barcelona#1 vs Real Madrid#3
2-0•
11 Jan2026
Barcelona#1 vs Real Madrid#3
3-2•
26 Oct2025
Real Madrid#3 vs Barcelona#1
2-1•
11 May2025
Barcelona#1 vs Real Madrid#3
4-3•
26 Apr2025
Barcelona#1 vs Real Madrid#3
3-2•
12 Jan2025
Real Madrid#3 vs Barcelona#1
2-5•
26 Oct2024
Real Madrid#3 vs Barcelona#1
0-4•
04 Aug2024
Barcelona#1 vs Real Madrid#3
2-1•
21 Apr2024
Real Madrid#3 vs Barcelona#1
3-2•
14 Jan2024
Real Madrid#3 vs Barcelona#1
4-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Barcelona
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