AZ Alkmaar vs Telstar

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 87% (Telstar 4%, draw 9%). That rests on expected goals of 2.95 to 0.49, 8 wins in AZ Alkmaar's last 10 matches to 2 for Telstar and 6 wins from the last 8 meetings to 2. It put over 2.5 goals at 66% and both teams scoring at 42%. AZ Alkmaar won 1-0, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Telstar have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 4 Mar 2026, when AZ Alkmaar won 2-1.