Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
Telstar vs Utrecht
Sunday, 01 November 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Utrecht favourites at 55% (Telstar 27%, draw 18%). That rests on expected goals of 2.36 to 1.64, Utrecht sitting 11th in the table to Telstar's 17th and 3 wins in Utrecht's last 10 matches to 1 for Telstar. Bookmakers give Utrecht about 40% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 69% and both teams scoring at 74%.
Key facts
- Telstar have gone 9 matches without a win.
- Over 2.5 goals came in 7 of Telstar's last 10 matches and 9 of Utrecht's.
- They last met on 11 Apr 2026, when Utrecht won 4-1.
- Utrecht concede 2.4 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Sunday, 01 November 2026 at 16:30
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-3-4
Last 10 matches
1010
12/2116/27
1.201.60
2.102.70
6/108/10
5/105/10
9/1010/10
6/106/10
1/100/10
4/102/10
7/109/10
7/109/10
6/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Telstar at homeUtrecht away
55
0/52/5
2/51/5
3/52/5
1.601.60
3.002.40
4/54/5
3/53/5
1/51/5
5/55/5
5/53/5
0/50/5
1/51/5
5/55/5
4/54/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Telstar: 1.64
Expected Goals
Utrecht: 2.36
Telstar
27%
Draw
18%
Utrecht
55%
Over 2.5: 69%
BTTS: 74%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 7.5%
1 — Telstar
2.70
Implied 34%
Edge -7.4%
X
3.70
Implied 25%
Edge -7.1%
2 — Utrecht
2.30▲
Implied 40%
Edge +14.6%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Telstar · # = league position now
23 Oct2026
G.a. Eagles#8 vs Telstar#17
3-2L
17 Oct2026
Telstar#17 vs Feyenoord#1
3-4L
11 Oct2026
Telstar#17 vs Den Haag#16
2-2D
20 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Telstar#17
1-0L
13 Sept2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Telstar#17
0-0D
09 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Telstar#17
1-0L
06 Sept2026
Telstar#17 vs Cambuur#14
2-2D
30 Aug2026
Telstar#17 vs Ajax#4
0-4L
14 Aug2026
Telstar#17 vs Sparta Rotterdam#13
1-3L
08 Aug2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Telstar#17
1-2W
Team 2 Form
Utrecht · # = league position now
18 Oct2026
Twente#5 vs Utrecht#11
1-2W
11 Oct2026
Utrecht#11 vs Willem ii#18
3-1W
20 Sept2026
Feyenoord#1 vs Utrecht#11
5-0L
13 Sept2026
Excelsior#10 vs Utrecht#11
1-2W
08 Sept2026
Utrecht#11 vs G.a. Eagles#8
3-3D
30 Aug2026
Utrecht#11 vs Psv#3
1-6L
22 Aug2026
Sparta Rotterdam#13 vs Utrecht#11
3-3D
15 Aug2026
Utrecht#11 vs az Alkmaar#2
1-4L
09 Aug2026
Groningen#7 vs Utrecht#11
2-1L
02 Aug2026
Utrecht#11 vs Sevilla#6
0-1L
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Apr2026
Utrecht#11 vs Telstar#17
4-1•
23 Nov2025
Telstar#17 vs Utrecht#11
1-1•
12 Mar2078
Telstar#17 vs Utrecht#11
0-2•
02 Oct2077
Utrecht#11 vs Telstar#17
1-1•
08 May2077
Utrecht#11 vs Telstar#17
3-1•
05 Dec2076
Telstar#17 vs Utrecht#11
1-1•
22 Feb2076
Telstar#17 vs Utrecht#11
0-1•
05 Oct2075
Utrecht#11 vs Telstar#17
2-4•
31 Mar2075
Utrecht#11 vs Telstar#17
0-2•
29 Mar2075
Telstar#17 vs Utrecht#11
4-0•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Telstar
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