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Football · Champions League · Europe

AS Roma vs Real Madrid

Wednesday, 14 October 2026

Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
AS Roma3-4Real Madrid
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
2-3

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Real Madrid favourites at 48% (AS Roma 31%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.81 to 1.40, 8 wins in Real Madrid's last 10 matches to 5 for AS Roma and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 3. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 55%. Real Madrid won 4-3, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

  • AS Roma are unbeaten in 8 matches.
  • They last met on 11 Aug 2019, when it finished 2-2.
Europe•Champions League
D18d
D40d
W45d
D49d
W54d
W59d
W66d
D75d
L82d
W86d
5W · 4D · 1L
vs
W19d
L39d
W44d
W47d
W51d
L55d
W60d
W64d
W68d
W74d
8W · 0D · 2L
Wednesday, 14 October 2026 at 22:00
Played. Source reports: FINISHED.
Final score
AS Roma3-4Real Madrid
1ST HALF
1-1
2ND HALF
2-3
H2H: 3-2-5
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
as Roma at homeReal Madrid away
35
2/33/5
1/30/5
0/32/5
2.671.80
1.001.20
3/34/5
3/33/5
1/32/5
2/34/5
1/32/5
1/31/5
0/31/5
3/34/5
2/33/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
as Roma: 1.4
Expected Goals
Real Madrid: 1.81
as Roma
31%
Draw
21%
Real Madrid
48%
Over 2.5: 64%
BTTS: 55%
Quality: high
Team 1 Form
as Roma · # = league position now
11 Oct2026
Como#9 vs as Roma#15
0-0D
19 Sept2026
as Roma#15 vs Inter#21
2-2D
14 Sept2026
Torino#9 vs as Roma#15
0-2W
10 Sept2026
Fenerbahce#31 vs as Roma#15
1-1D
05 Sept2026
as Roma#15 vs Atalanta#12
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Lecce#14 vs as Roma#15
0-4W
24 Aug2026
as Roma#15 vs Fiorentina#19
4-0W
15 Aug2026
Dortmund#13 vs as Roma#15
2-2D
08 Aug2026
Brighton#3 vs as Roma#15
3-0L
04 Aug2026
Newport#2 vs as Roma#15
1-4W
Team 2 Form
Real Madrid · # = league position now
10 Oct2026
Real Madrid#4 vs Villarreal#19
1-0W
20 Sept2026
Atl. Madrid#16 vs Real Madrid#4
2-1L
15 Sept2026
Elche#15 vs Real Madrid#4
2-3W
12 Sept2026
Real Madrid#4 vs Rayo Vallecano#16
4-1W
08 Sept2026
Real Madrid#4 vs Inter#21
2-1W
04 Sept2026
Betis#5 vs Real Madrid#4
1-0L
30 Aug2026
Real Madrid#4 vs Malaga#20
4-0W
26 Aug2026
Real Madrid#4 vs Real Sociedad#5
4-1W
22 Aug2026
Espanyol#18 vs Real Madrid#4
1-2W
16 Aug2026
Schalke#16 vs Real Madrid#4
0-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
11 Aug2019
as Roma#15 vs Real Madrid#4
2-2•
27 Nov2018
as Roma#15 vs Real Madrid#4
0-2•
19 Sept2018
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
3-0•
08 Aug2018
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
2-1•
08 Mar2016
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
2-0•
17 Feb2016
as Roma#15 vs Real Madrid#4
0-2•
18 Jul2015
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
0-0•
30 Jul2014
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
0-1•
05 Mar2008
Real Madrid#4 vs as Roma#15
1-2•
19 Feb2008
as Roma#15 vs Real Madrid#4
2-1•

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