Al Qadsiah vs Abha

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Al Qadsiah favourites at 85% (Abha 4%, draw 11%). That rests on expected goals of 2.56 to 0.35 and 7 wins in Al Qadsiah's last 10 matches to 0 for Abha. It put over 2.5 goals at 51% and both teams scoring at 42%. Al Qadsiah won 2-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Abha have gone 10 matches without a win.
• Al Qadsiah are unbeaten in 8 matches.
• They last met on 30 May 2021, when it finished 1-1.