Football · Saudi Professional League · Saudi Arabia
Al Riyadh vs Al Qadsiah
Thursday, 29 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Al Qadsiah favourites at 77% (Al Riyadh 8%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.20 to 0.50, Al Qadsiah sitting 3rd in the table to Al Riyadh's 11th, 6 wins in Al Qadsiah's last 10 matches to 4 for Al Riyadh and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. Bookmakers give Al Qadsiah about 73% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 54% and both teams scoring at 41%.
Key facts
- Al Qadsiah scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 29 Apr 2026, when Al Qadsiah won 4-0.
Saudi Arabia•Saudi Professional League
vs
Thursday, 29 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 2-3-5
Last 10 matches
1010
11/1522/12
1.102.20
1.501.20
6/1010/10
4/107/10
6/107/10
3/103/10
4/103/10
4/100/10
7/109/10
4/106/10
3/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
al Riyadh at homeal Qadsiah away
44
3/43/4
0/41/4
1/40/4
1.252.25
1.250.25
3/44/4
2/42/4
0/41/4
2/41/4
1/40/4
2/43/4
1/40/4
2/41/4
1/41/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
al Riyadh: 0.5
Expected Goals
al Qadsiah: 2.2
al Riyadh
8%
Draw
15%
al Qadsiah
77%
Over 2.5: 54%
BTTS: 41%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.2%
1 — Al Riyadh
8.20▲
Implied 11%
Edge -3.3%
X
5.80▲
Implied 16%
Edge -0.9%
2 — Al Qadsiah
1.27
Implied 73%
Edge +4.2%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
al Riyadh · # = league position now
24 Oct2026
al Riyadh#11 vs al Taawon#17
2-1W
20 Oct2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Riyadh#11
1-0L
11 Oct2026
al Fayha#15 vs al Riyadh#11
1-1D
13 Sept2026
al Riyadh#11 vs al Kholood#9
2-0W
07 Sept2026
al Khaleej#10 vs al Riyadh#11
0-0D
04 Sept2026
al Ahli sc#5 vs al Riyadh#11
5-0L
28 Aug2026
al Riyadh#11 vs Neom sc#6
1-0W
25 Aug2026
al Shabab#12 vs al Riyadh#11
3-3D
21 Aug2026
al Riyadh#11 vs al Nassr#2
0-4L
17 Aug2026
al Zulfi vs al Riyadh#11
0-2W
Team 2 Form
al Qadsiah · # = league position now
26 Oct2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Sadd
1-1D
23 Oct2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Hilal#1
2-3L
20 Oct2026
al Taawon#17 vs al Qadsiah#3
0-1W
16 Oct2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs Abha#18
2-1W
12 Oct2026
Pakhtakor#2 vs al Qadsiah#3
1-1D
09 Oct2026
al Kholood#9 vs al Qadsiah#3
0-5W
14 Sept2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Wasl
2-1W
11 Sept2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Ettifaq#7
3-3D
08 Sept2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Ahli sc#5
3-2W
03 Sept2026
al Diriyah#8 vs al Qadsiah#3
0-2W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
29 Apr2026
al Riyadh#11 vs al Qadsiah#3
0-4•
04 Jan2026
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Riyadh#11
4-0•
02 Mar2025
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Riyadh#11
1-0•
04 Oct2024
al Riyadh#11 vs al Qadsiah#3
2-1•
28 Feb2023
al Riyadh#11 vs al Qadsiah#3
1-2•
04 Oct2022
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Riyadh#11
1-1•
10 Apr2015
al Riyadh#11 vs al Qadsiah#3
2-3•
04 Dec2014
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Riyadh#11
2-2•
30 Jan2014
al Riyadh#11 vs al Qadsiah#3
1-0•
04 Oct2013
al Qadsiah#3 vs al Riyadh#11
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
al Riyadh
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