Ajax vs Willem II

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 66% (Willem II 19%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 3.13 to 1.72, 7 wins in Ajax's last 10 matches to 3 for Willem II and 8 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 78% and both teams scoring at 72%. Ajax won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Willem II have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 13 Apr 2025, when Ajax won 2-1.