Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
PSV vs Willem II
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes PSV favourites at 90% (Willem II 3%, draw 7%). That rests on expected goals of 3.33 to 0.44, PSV sitting 3rd in the table to Willem II's 18th, 6 wins in PSV's last 10 matches to 1 for Willem II and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 50%.
Key facts
- Willem II have lost 4 matches in a row.
- Both teams scored in 7 of PSV's last 10 matches and 8 of Willem II's.
- They last met on 8 Feb 2025, when it finished 1-1.
- Willem II have scored in all of their last 5 away games.
- Willem II concede 3.2 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 6-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
25/1111/27
2.501.10
1.102.70
9/108/10
6/103/10
8/1010/10
2/107/10
2/100/10
1/102/10
8/109/10
6/108/10
7/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Psv at homeWillem ii away
45
3/40/5
1/41/5
0/44/5
3.001.20
0.753.20
4/45/5
3/41/5
2/40/5
3/45/5
0/44/5
1/40/5
0/40/5
2/44/5
3/45/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Psv: 3.33
Expected Goals
Willem ii: 0.44
Psv
90%
Draw
7%
Willem ii
3%
Over 2.5: 68%
BTTS: 50%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — PSV
1.04
Implied 90%
Edge -0.2%
X
14.00▲
Implied 7%
Edge +0.3%
2 — Willem II
30.00▲
Implied 3%
Edge -0.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Psv · # = league position now
20 Oct2026
fc Porto#1 vs Psv#3
0-1W
17 Oct2026
Den Haag#16 vs Psv#3
2-1L
13 Oct2026
rb Leipzig#7 vs Psv#3
1-0L
09 Oct2026
Psv#3 vs Heerenveen#9
2-0W
20 Sept2026
Twente#5 vs Psv#3
3-2L
13 Sept2026
Psv#3 vs Sparta Rotterdam#13
4-1W
10 Sept2026
Psv#3 vs Shakhtar Donetsk#17
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Psv#3
1-3W
30 Aug2026
Utrecht#11 vs Psv#3
1-6W
23 Aug2026
Psv#3 vs Groningen#7
5-1W
Team 2 Form
Willem ii · # = league position now
17 Oct2026
Sparta Rotterdam#13 vs Willem ii#18
3-2L
11 Oct2026
Utrecht#11 vs Willem ii#18
3-1L
19 Sept2026
Willem ii#18 vs Sittard#6
0-1L
15 Sept2026
Ajax#4 vs Willem ii#18
5-1L
11 Sept2026
az Alkmaar#2 vs Willem ii#18
1-1D
05 Sept2026
Willem ii#18 vs Excelsior#10
0-3L
30 Aug2026
Willem ii#18 vs Heerenveen#9
2-2D
15 Aug2026
Willem ii#18 vs Nijmegen#12
1-4L
08 Aug2026
G.a. Eagles#8 vs Willem ii#18
4-1L
01 Aug2026
Willem ii#18 vs Ofi Crete#5
2-1W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
08 Feb2025
Psv#3 vs Willem ii#18
1-1•
28 Sept2024
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
0-2•
01 May2022
Psv#3 vs Willem ii#18
4-2•
25 Sept2021
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
2-1•
09 May2021
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
0-2•
08 Nov2020
Psv#3 vs Willem ii#18
3-0•
21 Aug2020
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
1-1•
08 Feb2020
Psv#3 vs Willem ii#18
3-0•
10 Nov2019
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
2-1•
25 Apr2019
Willem ii#18 vs Psv#3
0-3•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Psv
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