Ajax vs PSV

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 45% (PSV 37%, draw 18%). That rests on 8 wins in Ajax's last 10 matches to 6 for PSV. PSV lead the head-to-head 4-2, which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 83% and both teams scoring at 82%. PSV won 3-1, against the model's 45% for Ajax.

Key facts before the match

• Ajax have won 3 matches in a row.
• PSV have won 3 matches in a row.
• They last met on 2 May 2026, when it finished 2-2.