Ajax vs Nijmegen

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Ajax favourites at 76% (Nijmegen 12%, draw 12%). That rests on expected goals of 3.17 to 1.21, 6 wins in Ajax's last 10 matches to 3 for Nijmegen and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 84% and both teams scoring at 73%. It ended 1-1, a draw the model had put at 12%.

Key facts before the match

• Nijmegen have gone 5 matches without a win.
• They last met on 21 Feb 2026, when it finished 1-1.