Football · Eredivisie · Netherlands
Heerenveen vs Nijmegen
Saturday, 31 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Heerenveen favourites at 56% (Nijmegen 25%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.04 to 1.31 and 4 wins in Heerenveen's last 10 matches to 2 for Nijmegen. Bookmakers give Heerenveen about 53% once their margin is removed, close to the model's view. It puts over 2.5 goals at 62% and both teams scoring at 59%.
Key facts
- Nijmegen are unbeaten in 5 matches.
- Heerenveen are 9th in Eredivisie on 12 points from 9 games; Nijmegen are 12th on 10.
- They last met on 22 Mar 2026, when it finished 2-2.
- Nijmegen concede 2.4 goals a game away from home.
Netherlands•Eredivisie
vs
Saturday, 31 October 2026 at 20:45
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 3-4-3
Last 10 matches
1010
18/1315/21
1.801.50
1.302.10
7/108/10
6/104/10
6/1010/10
6/106/10
4/100/10
3/102/10
8/1010/10
6/107/10
4/108/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Heerenveen at homeNijmegen away
65
3/62/5
1/61/5
2/62/5
1.671.60
1.172.40
4/63/5
3/62/5
2/62/5
3/65/5
3/63/5
3/60/5
2/62/5
3/64/5
2/63/5
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Heerenveen: 2.04
Expected Goals
Nijmegen: 1.31
Heerenveen
56%
Draw
19%
Nijmegen
25%
Over 2.5: 62%
BTTS: 59%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 6.6%
1 — Heerenveen
1.77▼
Implied 53%
Edge +3.0%
X
4.20▲
Implied 22%
Edge -3.3%
2 — Nijmegen
3.80▲
Implied 25%
Edge +0.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Heerenveen · # = league position now
16 Oct2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Excelsior#10
4-0W
09 Oct2026
Psv#3 vs Heerenveen#9
2-0L
19 Sept2026
Sparta Rotterdam#13 vs Heerenveen#9
0-4W
13 Sept2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Telstar#17
0-0D
06 Sept2026
Heerenveen#9 vs az Alkmaar#2
2-3L
30 Aug2026
Willem ii#18 vs Heerenveen#9
2-2D
22 Aug2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Zwolle#15
0-2L
16 Aug2026
Ajax#4 vs Heerenveen#9
2-2D
09 Aug2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Twente#5
1-0W
01 Aug2026
Heerenveen#9 vs Volos#10
3-2W
Team 2 Form
Nijmegen · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Din. Zagreb#2 vs Nijmegen#12
2-4W
18 Oct2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Sittard#6
2-2D
15 Oct2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Levski Sofia#1
1-1D
10 Oct2026
Ajax#4 vs Nijmegen#12
1-1D
20 Sept2026
Nijmegen#12 vs G.a. Eagles#8
1-1D
17 Sept2026
Juventus#9 vs Nijmegen#12
5-0L
12 Sept2026
Cambuur#14 vs Nijmegen#12
3-0L
08 Sept2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Excelsior#10
2-2D
05 Sept2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Feyenoord#1
1-3L
29 Aug2026
Zwolle#15 vs Nijmegen#12
1-3W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
22 Mar2026
Nijmegen#12 vs Heerenveen#9
2-2•
21 Sept2025
Heerenveen#9 vs Nijmegen#12
3-2•
27 Apr2025
Heerenveen#9 vs Nijmegen#12
1-0•
19 Oct2024
Nijmegen#12 vs Heerenveen#9
3-0•
10 Mar2024
Nijmegen#12 vs Heerenveen#9
2-0•
07 Oct2023
Heerenveen#9 vs Nijmegen#12
1-1•
06 May2023
Nijmegen#12 vs Heerenveen#9
2-3•
04 Sept2022
Heerenveen#9 vs Nijmegen#12
0-0•
13 Feb2022
Heerenveen#9 vs Nijmegen#12
0-1•
06 Nov2021
Nijmegen#12 vs Heerenveen#9
1-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Heerenveen
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