Palermo vs Sudtirol

Match preview

The model makes Palermo favourites at 80% (Sudtirol 7%, draw 13%). That rests on expected goals of 2.42 to 0.56, Palermo sitting 1st in the table to Sudtirol's 7th, 9 wins in Palermo's last 10 matches to 3 for Sudtirol and 5 wins from the last 8 meetings to 2. It puts over 2.5 goals at 55% and both teams scoring at 47%.

Key facts

• Palermo have won 4 matches in a row.
• Palermo scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
• Palermo have scored in all of their last 6 home games.
• Palermo average 2.5 goals a game at home.
• Sudtirol failed to score in 2 of their last 4 away games.