Football · Serie B · Italy
Pisa vs Palermo
Wednesday, 28 October 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Match preview
The model makes Palermo favourites at 70% (Pisa 14%, draw 16%). That rests on expected goals of 2.38 to 0.96, Palermo sitting 1st in the table to Pisa's 6th and 9 wins in Palermo's last 10 matches to 4 for Pisa. Pisa lead the head-to-head 4-1, which keeps it from being more one-sided. Bookmakers give Palermo about 35% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 65% and both teams scoring at 62%.
Key facts
- Palermo have won 4 matches in a row.
- Palermo scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
- They last met on 31 Jan 2025, when Pisa won 2-1.
Italy•Serie B
vs
Wednesday, 28 October 2026 at 21:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.H2H: 5-2-2
Last 10 matches
1010
15/1525/10
1.502.50
1.501.00
7/1010/10
5/108/10
8/107/10
4/103/10
2/103/10
3/100/10
9/109/10
7/106/10
5/107/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Pisa at homePalermo away
44
2/43/4
0/41/4
2/40/4
1.502.50
1.751.25
3/44/4
2/43/4
1/42/4
4/43/4
1/42/4
0/41/4
1/40/4
3/42/4
3/43/4
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Pisa: 0.96
Expected Goals
Palermo: 2.38
Pisa
14%
Draw
16%
Palermo
70%
Over 2.5: 65%
BTTS: 62%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.8%
1 — Pisa
2.40
Implied 38%
Edge -24.3%
X
3.40
Implied 27%
Edge -11.0%
2 — Palermo
2.65▼
Implied 35%
Edge +35.3%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Pisa · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Verona#11 vs Pisa#6
1-1D
17 Oct2026
Pisa#6 vs Cremonese#18
3-1W
10 Oct2026
L.r. Vicenza#13 vs Pisa#6
0-3W
03 Oct2026
Monaco#3 vs Pisa#6
2-0L
20 Sept2026
Mantova#2 vs Pisa#6
2-2D
15 Sept2026
Fiorentina#18 vs Pisa#6
3-0L
11 Sept2026
Pisa#6 vs Entella#12
1-4L
06 Sept2026
Juve Stabia#14 vs Pisa#6
0-3W
30 Aug2026
Pisa#6 vs Catanzaro#20
2-1W
23 Aug2026
Pisa#6 vs Padova#9
0-1L
Team 2 Form
Palermo · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Palermo#1 vs Carrarese#17
2-1W
17 Oct2026
Mantova#2 vs Palermo#1
0-2W
10 Oct2026
Empoli#16 vs Palermo#1
2-4W
19 Sept2026
Palermo#1 vs Padova#9
2-1W
13 Sept2026
Avellino#8 vs Palermo#1
1-1D
07 Sept2026
Palermo#1 vs Sampdoria#19
3-1W
03 Sept2026
Palermo#1 vs Mantova#2
5-2W
30 Aug2026
Arezzo#10 vs Palermo#1
2-3W
23 Aug2026
Palermo#1 vs Juve Stabia#14
1-0W
17 Aug2026
Palermo#1 vs Lecce#12
2-0W
Head-to-Head
Last 10 · # = league position now
31 Jan2025
Palermo#1 vs Pisa#6
1-2•
24 Aug2024
Pisa#6 vs Palermo#1
2-0•
01 Apr2024
Pisa#6 vs Palermo#1
4-3•
16 Dec2023
Palermo#1 vs Pisa#6
3-2•
04 Mar2023
Pisa#6 vs Palermo#1
1-1•
15 Oct2022
Palermo#1 vs Pisa#6
3-3•
21 Jul2022
Pisa#6 vs Palermo#1
5-0•
13 Apr2069
Palermo#1 vs Pisa#6
1-0•
08 Dec2068
Pisa#6 vs Palermo#1
4-1•
Upcoming matches
# = league position now
Pisa
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