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Match Intelligence

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Football · Premier League · England

Aston Villa vs Sunderland

Saturday, 21 November 2026

Match preview

The model makes Aston Villa favourites at 73% (Sunderland 12%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.50 to 0.91, Aston Villa sitting 9th in the table to Sunderland's 20th, 7 wins in Aston Villa's last 10 matches to 4 for Sunderland and 5 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It puts over 2.5 goals at 68% and both teams scoring at 60%.

Key facts

Aston Villa have scored in all of their last 5 home games.
Aston Villa average 2.8 goals a game at home.
They last met on 19 Apr 2026, when Aston Villa won 4-3.
Sunderland concede 2.25 goals a game away from home.

England•Premier League

Aston Villa(5)

Rank 9 · 11 pts

L1d

W5d

W8d

W12d

W15d

D19d

W27d

W40d

W43d

L47d

7W · 1D · 2L

Sunderland(1)

Rank 20 · 5 pts

W1d

D4d

D7d

L11d

W14d

L19d

L39d

W43d

L47d

W51d

4W · 2D · 4L

Saturday, 21 November 2026 at 18:00

H2H: 5-4-1

Last 10 matches

1010

24/1311/15

2.401.10

1.301.50

9/106/10

7/103/10

8/107/10

4/105/10

2/103/10

1/104/10

9/107/10

9/103/10

7/104/10

Home & away form · from last 10 matches

Aston Villa at homeSunderland away

3/51/4

1/51/4

1/52/4

2.801.50

1.202.25

5/53/4

4/52/4

2/51/4

4/54/4

2/52/4

1/50/4

0/51/4

5/52/4

4/53/4

Model Prediction

Expected Goals

Aston Villa: 2.5

Expected Goals

Sunderland: 0.91

Aston Villa

73%

Draw

15%

Sunderland

12%

Over 2.5: 68%

BTTS: 60%

Quality: high

Market Odds (1X2)

Bookmaker odds not available for this match.

Team 1 Form

Aston Villa · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Bournemouth#13 vs Aston Villa#9

3-0L

24 Oct2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Manchester City#1

2-1W

21 Oct2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Viking#1

3-1W

17 Oct2026

Newcastle#8 vs Aston Villa#9

0-1W

14 Oct2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Fenerbahce#5

6-0W

10 Oct2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Brentford#6

2-2D

02 Oct2026

Sevilla#6 vs Aston Villa#9

1-3W

19 Sept2026

Tottenham#14 vs Aston Villa#9

2-3W

16 Sept2026

Coventry#19 vs Aston Villa#9

1-3W

12 Sept2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Nottingham#18

1-2L

Team 2 Form

Sunderland · # = league position now

28 Oct2026

Sunderland#20 vs Brentford#6

3-2W

25 Oct2026

Sunderland#20 vs Leeds#7

0-0D

22 Oct2026

Lech Poznan#1 vs Sunderland#20

1-1D

18 Oct2026

Bournemouth#13 vs Sunderland#20

2-0L

15 Oct2026

Torreense#28 vs Sunderland#20

1-2W

10 Oct2026

Sunderland#20 vs Brighton#3

0-2L

20 Sept2026

Manchester City#1 vs Sunderland#20

5-3L

16 Sept2026

Sunderland#20 vs az Alkmaar#5

1-0W

12 Sept2026

Sunderland#20 vs Arsenal#2

0-2L

08 Sept2026

Sunderland#20 vs Hull#10

1-0W

Head-to-Head

Last 10 · # = league position now

19 Apr2026

Aston Villa#9 vs Sunderland#20

4-3•

21 Sept2025