Baseball · NPB · Japan
Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Seibu Lions
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Seibu Lions in NPB (Baseball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. Model prediction: Fukuoka S. Hawks 64% vs Seibu Lions 36%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Fukuoka S. Hawksvs
Seibu Lions22 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Fukuoka S. Hawks
64%to win
by ~2.34 runs vs Seibu Lions
Projected Total
7.89runs
5.12 – 2.78
no market line
First 5 (F5)
4.41runs
3.16 – 1.25
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fukuoka S. Hawks | 1.3 | 0.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.5 |
| Seibu Lions | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.1 | 0.2 | 0.4 | 0.5 | 0.0 | 0.9 | 0.2 |
| Tot | 1.5 | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.2 | 1.5 | 0.8 | 0.6 | 1.4 | 0.7 |
from last 5+5 games
Fukuoka S. Hawks
Last 10: 9–1 (90%)
RPG: 6.2 — Allowed: 2.6 — Run env: 8.8
Seibu Lions
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3.3 — Allowed: 3.2 — Run env: 6.5
Fukuoka S. Hawks Form
Fukuoka S. Hawks
W0d
W2d
W3d
W4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
L9d
W10d
W11d
By inning:0-00-00-01-03-11-10-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-01-30-23-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-30-00-00-01-00-02-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-70-00-00-20-10-—
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
Seibu Lions Form
Seibu Lions
L0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-—
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:1-00-00-00-23-10-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-14-00-02-00-20-00-00-12-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-03-00-00-00-01-10-00-00-1
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-10-00-00-—
By inning:0-10-21-01-00-00-00-50-00-—
By inning:0-01-00-00-00-00-04-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-20-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Fukuoka S. Hawks 7 / Seibu Lions 3. Average total: 6.5.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 2.78,
"total": 7.89
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6.2,
"avg_ra": 2.6,
"w_avg_rf": 6.24,
"w_avg_ra": 2.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 6.5
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.34,
"opponent": "Seibu Lions",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.89,
"team_1_proj": 5.12,
"team_2_proj": 2.78,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.16,
"team_2": 1.25,
"total": 4.41,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.28,
0,
0.77,
0,
1.11,
0.34,
0.6,
0.51,
0.51
],
"away": [
0.22,
0.34,
0.08,
0.22,
0.39,
0.46,
0,
0.88,
0.19
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.5,
0.34,
0.85,
0.22,
1.5,
0.8,
0.6,
1.39,
0.7
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.16,
"away": 1.25,
"total": 4.41
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.25,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.217,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0.117,
"i8": 0.1,
"i9": 0.1
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Fukuoka S. Hawks to win",
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.3 runs; form 90% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Seibu Lions +ML",
"team": "Seibu Lions",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Seibu Lions has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Fukuoka S. Hawks vs Seibu Lions",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-5",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
7,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Seibu Lions",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-8",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
5,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "0-5",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "07.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "26.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "25.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "8-6",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "24.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "3-7",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.07.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": null,
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 2.78,
"total": 7.89
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 9,
"losses": 1,
"win_rate": 0.9,
"avg_rf": 6.2,
"avg_ra": 2.6,
"w_avg_rf": 6.24,
"w_avg_ra": 2.7,
"run_rate": 8.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 7,
"t2_wins": 3,
"t1_win_rate": 0.7,
"avg_total": 6.5
},
"confidence": 85,
"winner": {
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"probability": 64,
"margin_runs": 2.34,
"opponent": "Seibu Lions",
"opponent_probability": 36
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.89,
"team_1_proj": 5.12,
"team_2_proj": 2.78,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.16,
"team_2": 1.25,
"total": 4.41,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
1.28,
0,
0.77,
0,
1.11,
0.34,
0.6,
0.51,
0.51
],
"away": [
0.22,
0.34,
0.08,
0.22,
0.39,
0.46,
0,
0.88,
0.19
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.5,
0.34,
0.85,
0.22,
1.5,
0.8,
0.6,
1.39,
0.7
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.16,
"away": 1.25,
"total": 4.41
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.25,
"i2": 0,
"i3": 0.15,
"i4": 0,
"i5": 0.217,
"i6": 0.067,
"i7": 0.117,
"i8": 0.1,
"i9": 0.1
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": {
"market": "moneyline",
"pick": "Fukuoka S. Hawks to win",
"team": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"win_prob": 64,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Projected edge ~2.3 runs; form 90% vs 40% (last 10/10); H2H 70% over last 10"
},
"high_risk": {
"market": "moneyline (underdog)",
"pick": "Seibu Lions +ML",
"team": "Seibu Lions",
"win_prob": 36,
"confidence": 85,
"reason": "Seibu Lions has a live shot (36%) at a price the market may shade."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 64,
"team_2": 36
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 5.12,
"team_2": 2.78,
"total": 7.89
},
"predicted_winner": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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