Baseball · NPB · Japan
Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions
Thursday, 17 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions in NPB (Baseball) on Thursday, 17 September 2026. Model prediction: Nippon Ham Fighters 49% vs Seibu Lions 51%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Nippon Ham Fightersvs
Seibu Lions17 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Seibu Lions
51%to win
by ~0.08 runs vs Nippon Ham Fi…
Projected Total
7.61runs
3.76 – 3.85
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.18runs
3.44 – 1.74
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nippon Ham Fighte… | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.7 | 1.9 | 0.4 | 0.2 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.1 |
| Seibu Lions | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.3 |
| Tot | 0.5 | 0.7 | 0.8 | 2.2 | 1.0 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 1.2 | 0.4 |
from last 5+5 games
Nippon Ham Fighters
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 4 — Allowed: 4.1 — Run env: 8.1
Seibu Lions
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3.3 — Allowed: 3.2 — Run env: 6.5
Nippon Ham Fighters Form
Nippon Ham Fighte…
L0d
W2d
W3d
L5d
L6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
W11d
L13d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-11-10-10-00-00-01-00-—
By inning:0-12-01-30-10-00-00-00-01-—
Seibu Lions Form
Seibu Lions
L0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-—
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:1-00-00-00-23-10-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-14-00-02-00-20-00-00-12-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:0-00-01-13-00-05-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-10-10-01-10-—
By inning:0-31-00-00-01-50-00-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Nippon Ham Fighters 4 / Seibu Lions 6. Average total: 7.9.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.76,
"team_2": 3.85,
"total": 7.61
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.9
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Seibu Lions",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.08,
"opponent": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.61,
"team_1_proj": 3.76,
"team_2_proj": 3.85,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.44,
"team_2": 1.74,
"total": 5.18,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.15,
0.25,
0.7,
1.91,
0.43,
0.21,
0,
0,
0.11
],
"away": [
0.3,
0.48,
0.11,
0.31,
0.54,
0.64,
0,
1.22,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.45,
0.73,
0.81,
2.22,
0.97,
0.85,
0,
1.22,
0.37
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.44,
"away": 1.74,
"total": 5.18
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Nippon Ham Fighters vs Seibu Lions",
"date": "2026-09-17",
"time": "12:00",
"status": "",
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
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]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
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0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
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0,
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0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
3,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "14-1",
"home_points": 14,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-6",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"score": "1-1",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Seibu Lions",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
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]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
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],
"away": [
0,
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1,
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]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
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0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
0,
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],
"away": [
1,
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1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-8",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "26.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-9",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
3,
0,
5,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "25.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
3,
0,
0,
0,
5,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "11.08.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "23.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "2-11",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "12.07.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-12",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.76,
"team_2": 3.85,
"total": 7.61
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 4,
"avg_ra": 4.1,
"w_avg_rf": 4.13,
"w_avg_ra": 4.24,
"run_rate": 8.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.2
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 4,
"t2_wins": 6,
"t1_win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_total": 7.9
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Seibu Lions",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.08,
"opponent": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.61,
"team_1_proj": 3.76,
"team_2_proj": 3.85,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.44,
"team_2": 1.74,
"total": 5.18,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.15,
0.25,
0.7,
1.91,
0.43,
0.21,
0,
0,
0.11
],
"away": [
0.3,
0.48,
0.11,
0.31,
0.54,
0.64,
0,
1.22,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.45,
0.73,
0.81,
2.22,
0.97,
0.85,
0,
1.22,
0.37
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.44,
"away": 1.74,
"total": 5.18
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.04,
"i2": 0.067,
"i3": 0.187,
"i4": 0.507,
"i5": 0.114,
"i6": 0.057,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.029
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.76,
"team_2": 3.85,
"total": 7.61
},
"predicted_winner": "Seibu Lions",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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