Baseball · NPB · Japan
Chiba Lotte Marines vs Seibu Lions
Saturday, 19 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Chiba Lotte Marines vs Seibu Lions in NPB (Baseball) on Saturday, 19 September 2026. Model prediction: Chiba Lotte Marines 52% vs Seibu Lions 48%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Chiba Lotte Marinesvs
Seibu Lions19 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Chiba Lotte Marines
52%to win
by ~0.25 runs vs Seibu Lions
Projected Total
8.15runs
4.2 – 3.95
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.08runs
3.3 – 1.78
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chiba Lotte Marin… | 0.4 | 0.1 | 1.0 | 1.6 | 0.1 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Seibu Lions | 0.3 | 0.5 | 0.1 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.0 | 1.3 | 0.3 |
| Tot | 0.7 | 0.6 | 1.1 | 1.9 | 0.7 | 1.0 | 0.3 | 1.5 | 0.3 |
from last 5+5 games
Chiba Lotte Marines
Last 10: 5–5 (50%)
RPG: 4.5 — Allowed: 4.6 — Run env: 9.1
Seibu Lions
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3.3 — Allowed: 3.2 — Run env: 6.5
Chiba Lotte Marines Form
Chiba Lotte Marin…
W0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-10-10-04-12-10-10-11-0
By inning:0-00-01-30-23-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:1-20-00-30-00-00-01-00-02-—
By inning:1-10-00-00-70-00-00-20-10-—
By inning:0-00-40-01-00-00-00-20-00-—
Seibu Lions Form
Seibu Lions
L0d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W5d
W6d
W7d
W9d
L10d
L11d
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-10-—
By inning:1-02-01-00-10-03-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-01-00-00-30-00-00-01-01-0
By inning:1-00-00-00-23-10-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-14-00-02-00-20-00-00-12-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-20-20-00-00-10-00-00-21-—
By inning:0-00-01-00-00-10-00-03-01-0
By inning:0-00-10-00-20-10-00-00-30-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-30-00-20-30-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Chiba Lotte Marines 6 / Seibu Lions 4. Average total: 6.2.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 3.95,
"total": 8.15
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 6.2
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"probability": 52,
"margin_runs": 0.25,
"opponent": "Seibu Lions",
"opponent_probability": 48
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.15,
"team_1_proj": 4.2,
"team_2_proj": 3.95,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.3,
"team_2": 1.78,
"total": 5.08,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.41,
0.14,
1,
1.61,
0.14,
0.38,
0.29,
0.22,
0
],
"away": [
0.31,
0.49,
0.11,
0.32,
0.55,
0.66,
0,
1.25,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.72,
0.63,
1.11,
1.93,
0.69,
1.04,
0.29,
1.47,
0.26
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.3,
"away": 1.78,
"total": 5.08
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Chiba Lotte Marines vs Seibu Lions",
"date": "2026-09-19",
"time": "12:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "6-7",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
4,
2,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
1,
1,
1,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-4",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
3,
2,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2
],
"away": [
2,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "11-1",
"home_points": 11,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
7,
0,
0,
2,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
4,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "10-4",
"home_points": 10,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 14,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"score": "3-2",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-6",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Seibu Lions",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Rakuten Gold. Eagles",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "1-7",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Nippon Ham Fighters",
"score": "3-3",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-4",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "4-8",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 12,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
4,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-8",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Orix Buffaloes",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "0-2",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Fukuoka S. Hawks",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-2",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-1",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
],
"away": [
2,
2,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
1
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-0",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
3
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.08.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "8-0",
"home_points": 8,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
2,
3,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.08.26",
"home": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"away": "Seibu Lions",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "16.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "3-4",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "15.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "7-3",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "14.07.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "20.05.26",
"home": "Seibu Lions",
"away": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 3.95,
"total": 8.15
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 5,
"losses": 5,
"win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_rf": 4.5,
"avg_ra": 4.6,
"w_avg_rf": 4.61,
"w_avg_ra": 4.85,
"run_rate": 9.1,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.2,
"w_avg_rf": 3.25,
"w_avg_ra": 3.19,
"run_rate": 6.5,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 6,
"t2_wins": 4,
"t1_win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_total": 6.2
},
"confidence": 77,
"winner": {
"team": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"probability": 52,
"margin_runs": 0.25,
"opponent": "Seibu Lions",
"opponent_probability": 48
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 8.15,
"team_1_proj": 4.2,
"team_2_proj": 3.95,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 3.3,
"team_2": 1.78,
"total": 5.08,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.41,
0.14,
1,
1.61,
0.14,
0.38,
0.29,
0.22,
0
],
"away": [
0.31,
0.49,
0.11,
0.32,
0.55,
0.66,
0,
1.25,
0.26
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.72,
0.63,
1.11,
1.93,
0.69,
1.04,
0.29,
1.47,
0.26
],
"first_five": {
"home": 3.3,
"away": 1.78,
"total": 5.08
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 5,
"t2_samples": 5,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.098,
"i2": 0.033,
"i3": 0.239,
"i4": 0.384,
"i5": 0.033,
"i6": 0.09,
"i7": 0.07,
"i8": 0.052,
"i9": 0
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.079,
"i2": 0.124,
"i3": 0.029,
"i4": 0.08,
"i5": 0.14,
"i6": 0.166,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.317,
"i9": 0.067
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": null
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 52,
"team_2": 48
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 4.2,
"team_2": 3.95,
"total": 8.15
},
"predicted_winner": "Chiba Lotte Marines",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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