Baseball · NPB · Japan
Hiroshima Carp vs Yomiuri Giants
Tuesday, 22 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Hiroshima Carp vs Yomiuri Giants in NPB (Baseball) on Tuesday, 22 September 2026. Model prediction: Hiroshima Carp 49% vs Yomiuri Giants 51%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Hiroshima Carpvs
Yomiuri Giants22 Sept • 09:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Yomiuri Giants
51%to win
by ~0.2 runs vs Hiroshima Carp
Projected Total
7.19runs
3.5 – 3.69
no market line
First 5 (F5)
5.12runs
1.95 – 3.17
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hiroshima Carp | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.6 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Yomiuri Giants | 1.3 | 1.1 | 0.1 | 0.6 | 0.0 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.1 | 0.0 |
| Tot | 1.3 | 1.5 | 0.7 | 1.2 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.6 | 0.8 |
from last 4+4 games
Hiroshima Carp
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 7
Yomiuri Giants
Last 10: 6–4 (60%)
RPG: 3.3 — Allowed: 3.5 — Run env: 6.8
Hiroshima Carp Form
Hiroshima Carp
W0d
W1d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W6d
L9d
L10d
L11d
W12d
By inning:3-03-10-10-00-20-00-00-03-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-10-01-00-—
By inning:0-01-03-00-00-00-00-00-23-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-03-03-0
Yomiuri Giants Form
Yomiuri Giants
L0d
L1d
L2d
W3d
W5d
W6d
L7d
W9d
W10d
W11d
By inning:1-40-50-11-00-00-00-10-20-—
By inning:0-10-10-00-02-01-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-40-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-01-10-22-00-00-00-00-20-—
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-03-00-00-01-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-11-00-21-01-00-00-01-21-0
By inning:1-00-02-00-00-00-00-10-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-01-10-01-10-01-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-30-00-00-—
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Hiroshima Carp 3 / Yomiuri Giants 7. Average total: 7.1.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.5,
"team_2": 3.69,
"total": 7.19
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.06,
"w_avg_ra": 3.88,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 7.1
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Yomiuri Giants",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.2,
"opponent": "Hiroshima Carp",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.19,
"team_1_proj": 3.5,
"team_2_proj": 3.69,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.95,
"team_2": 3.17,
"total": 5.12,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.34,
0.59,
0.58,
0.44,
0.29,
0,
0.44,
0.81
],
"away": [
1.33,
1.15,
0.07,
0.62,
0,
0,
0.38,
0.14,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.33,
1.49,
0.66,
1.2,
0.44,
0.29,
0.38,
0.58,
0.81
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.95,
"away": 3.17,
"total": 5.12
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.36,
"i2": 0.313,
"i3": 0.019,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.103,
"i8": 0.038,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 7.2)",
"projected": 7.19,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.9 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Hiroshima Carp vs Yomiuri Giants",
"date": "2026-09-22",
"time": "09:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Hiroshima Carp",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
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0,
0,
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1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
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1,
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],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Yomiuri Giants",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "13-2",
"home_points": 13,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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],
"away": [
4,
5,
1,
0,
0,
0,
1,
2
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yokohama BayStars",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
4,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
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0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
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0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "10.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
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0,
1,
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"away": [
0,
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2
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "5-1",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "08.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
3,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
0,
1,
1,
0,
0,
1,
1
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "23.08.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "22.08.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "5-0",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
3,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "21.08.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-0",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 2,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "7-11",
"home_points": 7,
"away_points": 11,
"total_points": 18,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "4-3",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "22.07.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.5,
"team_2": 3.69,
"total": 7.19
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 6,
"losses": 4,
"win_rate": 0.6,
"avg_rf": 3.3,
"avg_ra": 3.5,
"w_avg_rf": 3.06,
"w_avg_ra": 3.88,
"run_rate": 6.8,
"blowout_rate": 0.3
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 3,
"t2_wins": 7,
"t1_win_rate": 0.3,
"avg_total": 7.1
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Yomiuri Giants",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.2,
"opponent": "Hiroshima Carp",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 7.19,
"team_1_proj": 3.5,
"team_2_proj": 3.69,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.95,
"team_2": 3.17,
"total": 5.12,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0,
0.34,
0.59,
0.58,
0.44,
0.29,
0,
0.44,
0.81
],
"away": [
1.33,
1.15,
0.07,
0.62,
0,
0,
0.38,
0.14,
0
],
"per_inning_total": [
1.33,
1.49,
0.66,
1.2,
0.44,
0.29,
0.38,
0.58,
0.81
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.95,
"away": 3.17,
"total": 5.12
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0.36,
"i2": 0.313,
"i3": 0.019,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0,
"i6": 0,
"i7": 0.103,
"i8": 0.038,
"i9": 0
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 7.2)",
"projected": 7.19,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.9 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.5,
"team_2": 3.69,
"total": 7.19
},
"predicted_winner": "Yomiuri Giants",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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