Baseball · NPB · Japan
Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Carp
Friday, 18 September 2026
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Carp in NPB (Baseball) on Friday, 18 September 2026. Model prediction: Hanshin Tigers 49% vs Hiroshima Carp 51%. See the head-to-head record, recent form and odds. Predictions and stats update daily.
Japan • NPB
Hanshin Tigersvs
Hiroshima Carp18 Sept • 12:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
Predicted Winner
Hiroshima Carp
51%to win
by ~0.17 runs vs Hanshin Tigers
Projected Total
6.25runs
3.04 – 3.21
no market line
First 5 (F5)
3.25runs
1.45 – 1.8
model projection
Inning Line Score
projected| 1 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 8 | 9 | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanshin Tigers | 0.3 | 0.8 | 0.0 | 0.2 | 0.3 | 0.4 | 0.9 | 0.0 | 0.3 |
| Hiroshima Carp | 0.0 | 0.3 | 0.6 | 0.5 | 0.4 | 0.3 | 0.0 | 0.4 | 0.7 |
| Tot | 0.3 | 1.1 | 0.6 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.7 | 0.9 | 0.4 | 1.0 |
from last 4+4 games
Hanshin Tigers
Last 10: 2–8 (20%)
RPG: 2.1 — Allowed: 3.3 — Run env: 5.4
Hiroshima Carp
Last 10: 4–6 (40%)
RPG: 3 — Allowed: 4 — Run env: 7
Hanshin Tigers Form
Hanshin Tigers
L0d
L1d
L2d
L3d
L6d
L9d
L10d
W12d
L13d
W14d
By inning:0-00-00-01-00-12-01-00-00-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-02-00-00-00-02-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-10-00-00-00-00-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-03-00-00-1
Hiroshima Carp Form
Hiroshima Carp
W0d
W1d
L2d
L3d
L4d
W6d
L9d
L10d
L11d
W12d
By inning:3-03-10-10-00-20-00-00-03-0
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-00-01-00-00-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-20-00-10-01-00-—
By inning:0-01-03-00-00-00-00-00-23-0
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-10-03-03-0
Head-to-Head
Last 10
By inning:0-00-00-00-00-00-03-00-00-1
By inning:2-00-00-00-00-10-02-02-02-0
By inning:2-10-00-20-00-00-20-00-00-—
By inning:0-00-10-10-10-20-00-01-10-—
By inning:0-00-20-01-00-00-01-02-00-0
Head-to-head summary
10 meetings — Hanshin Tigers 5 / Hiroshima Carp 5. Average total: 7.3.
Model output
{
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.04,
"team_2": 3.21,
"total": 6.25
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_rf": 2.1,
"avg_ra": 3.3,
"w_avg_rf": 1.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.31,
"run_rate": 5.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 7.3
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Hiroshima Carp",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.17,
"opponent": "Hanshin Tigers",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 6.25,
"team_1_proj": 3.04,
"team_2_proj": 3.21,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.45,
"team_2": 1.8,
"total": 3.25,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.25,
0.76,
0,
0.19,
0.25,
0.38,
0.95,
0,
0.25
],
"away": [
0,
0.31,
0.55,
0.54,
0.4,
0.27,
0,
0.4,
0.74
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.25,
1.07,
0.55,
0.73,
0.65,
0.65,
0.95,
0.4,
0.99
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.45,
"away": 1.8,
"total": 3.25
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.25,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.062,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0.125,
"i7": 0.312,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.083
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 6.2)",
"projected": 6.25,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.2 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}Full match data
{
"sport": "baseball",
"league": "NPB",
"country": "Japan",
"match": "Hanshin Tigers vs Hiroshima Carp",
"date": "2026-09-18",
"time": "12:00",
"status": null,
"score": null,
"innings": null,
"match_stats": null,
"team_1": {
"name": "Hanshin Tigers",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
2,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-6",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Chunichi Dragons",
"score": "0-1",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Yomiuri Giants",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "1-0",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 0,
"total_points": 1,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-4",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-3",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 5,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "4-7",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 11,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "02.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "5-3",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "01.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "2-6",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 8,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"team_2": {
"name": "Hiroshima Carp",
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "15.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "4-9",
"home_points": 4,
"away_points": 9,
"total_points": 13,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
3,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "0-3",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "13.09.26",
"home": "Yakult Swallows",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "3-1",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
2,
0,
1,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "12.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "2-7",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 7,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
1,
3,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "11.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yokohama BayStars",
"score": "1-6",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 6,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
3
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "06.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "0-4",
"home_points": 0,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "5-10",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 10,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "04.09.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Yomiuri Giants",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.09.26",
"home": "Chunichi Dragons",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "2-5",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"head_to_head": {
"last_10_matches": [
{
"date": "09.09.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-3",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 3,
"total_points": 4,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
3,
0,
0
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "16.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "1-8",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 8,
"total_points": 9,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
2,
2,
2
],
"away": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "15.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "5-2",
"home_points": 5,
"away_points": 2,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
],
"away": [
1,
0,
2,
0,
0,
2,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "14.08.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "6-1",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 7,
"home_won": true,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
1,
0
],
"away": [
0,
1,
1,
1,
2,
0,
0,
1
]
}
},
{
"date": "19.07.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": {
"home": [
0,
0,
0,
1,
0,
0,
1,
2,
0
],
"away": [
0,
2,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0,
0
]
}
},
{
"date": "18.07.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "2-1",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 1,
"total_points": 3,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "17.07.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "2-4",
"home_points": 2,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "05.07.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "6-4",
"home_points": 6,
"away_points": 4,
"total_points": 10,
"home_won": true,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "03.07.26",
"home": "Hanshin Tigers",
"away": "Hiroshima Carp",
"score": "1-5",
"home_points": 1,
"away_points": 5,
"total_points": 6,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
},
{
"date": "28.06.26",
"home": "Hiroshima Carp",
"away": "Hanshin Tigers",
"score": "3-12",
"home_points": 3,
"away_points": 12,
"total_points": 15,
"home_won": false,
"innings": null
}
]
},
"odds": {
"match_winner": {
"home": null,
"away": null,
"vig_pct": null
}
},
"analysis": {
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.04,
"team_2": 3.21,
"total": 6.25
},
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"form": {
"team_1": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 2,
"losses": 8,
"win_rate": 0.2,
"avg_rf": 2.1,
"avg_ra": 3.3,
"w_avg_rf": 1.75,
"w_avg_ra": 3.31,
"run_rate": 5.4,
"blowout_rate": 0.1
},
"team_2": {
"played": 10,
"wins": 4,
"losses": 6,
"win_rate": 0.4,
"avg_rf": 3,
"avg_ra": 4,
"w_avg_rf": 3.11,
"w_avg_ra": 3.92,
"run_rate": 7,
"blowout_rate": 0.4
}
},
"h2h_summary": {
"considered": 10,
"t1_wins": 5,
"t2_wins": 5,
"t1_win_rate": 0.5,
"avg_total": 7.3
},
"confidence": 76,
"winner": {
"team": "Hiroshima Carp",
"probability": 51,
"margin_runs": 0.17,
"opponent": "Hanshin Tigers",
"opponent_probability": 49
},
"total_runs": {
"projected_total": 6.25,
"team_1_proj": 3.04,
"team_2_proj": 3.21,
"market": null
},
"first_five": {
"team_1": 1.45,
"team_2": 1.8,
"total": 3.25,
"source": "projected_from_form"
},
"inning_scores": null,
"inning_prediction": {
"home": [
0.25,
0.76,
0,
0.19,
0.25,
0.38,
0.95,
0,
0.25
],
"away": [
0,
0.31,
0.55,
0.54,
0.4,
0.27,
0,
0.4,
0.74
],
"per_inning_total": [
0.25,
1.07,
0.55,
0.73,
0.65,
0.65,
0.95,
0.4,
0.99
],
"first_five": {
"home": 1.45,
"away": 1.8,
"total": 3.25
},
"source": "form",
"t1_samples": 4,
"t2_samples": 4,
"t1_fractions": {
"i1": 0.083,
"i2": 0.25,
"i3": 0,
"i4": 0.062,
"i5": 0.083,
"i6": 0.125,
"i7": 0.312,
"i8": 0,
"i9": 0.083
},
"t2_fractions": {
"i1": 0,
"i2": 0.098,
"i3": 0.17,
"i4": 0.167,
"i5": 0.125,
"i6": 0.083,
"i7": 0,
"i8": 0.125,
"i9": 0.232
}
},
"predictions": {
"safe": null,
"high_risk": {
"market": "total runs (Under)",
"pick": "Under (projected 6.2)",
"projected": 6.25,
"confidence": 76,
"reason": "Combined scoring environment 6.2 < league baseline."
}
},
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
},
"model": {
"win_probability": {
"team_1": 49,
"team_2": 51
},
"prediction_quality": "high",
"expected_runs": {
"team_1": 3.04,
"team_2": 3.21,
"total": 6.25
},
"predicted_winner": "Hiroshima Carp",
"model_version": "v1-2026-06-baseball"
}
}Prediction alerts
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