Alkaya M. vs Coulibaly E.

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 79%. Coulibaly won all eight completed hard matches from October 9 to October 25. He beat Loge, Faurel and Larue 2-0 and Echeverria 2-1. Alkaya won six of ten current hard matches and conceded a set in six, including 0-2 defeats to Hsu and Dellavedova. The high-quality match-win model favors Coulibaly 67%. Main risk: Alkaya is ranked 319 to Coulibaly 342 and beat Moriya 2-1. He also won their October 2025 hard H2H 2-1. Coulibaly has no completed match since October 25, and the older H2H has limited weight. All stated current samples are independently dated within August 12–November 10, 2026, excluding stale, duplicate and incomplete rows. Current primary-source JSON confirms the exact future fixture, epoch kickoff and pre-match stage with no score fields. The exact current set-market price could not be verified.