Univ. Craiova vs Egnatia

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. The exact market landed in 17/20 completed games dated 2026-08-07 or later and 9/9 relevant home/away games; underlying scores and opponents were independently counted. Univ. Craiova beat FC Botosani 2-1, Farul 2-0 and Inter Escaldes 3-1, and drew 1-1 with Getafe. Egnatia drew 1-1 with both Aarhus and Midtjylland and most recently won 2-1 at KF Tirana. The provided goal model totals 2.79 goals as supporting context. Main risk: Craiova won only 1-0 at Csikszereda and Corvinul, and Egnatia beat Teuta only 1-0. Most observations are domestic and there is no H2H; the nine-game venue sample is limited. The model quality label is high, not a calibrated guarantee. No exact current decimal price verified; stale or absent 1X2 quotes do not price this derived market, odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.