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Football · Conference League · Europe

Univ. Craiova vs Egnatia

Thursday, 05 November 2026

Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.

Match preview

The model makes Univ. Craiova favourites at 70% (Egnatia 13%, draw 17%). That rests on expected goals of 2.15 to 0.75, Univ. Craiova sitting 11th in the table to Egnatia's 20th and 8 wins in Univ. Craiova's last 10 matches to 5 for Egnatia. Bookmakers give Univ. Craiova about 63% once their margin is removed, so the model is more confident than the market. It puts over 2.5 goals at 57% and both teams scoring at 52%.

Key facts

  • Univ. Craiova are unbeaten in 10 matches.
  • Univ. Craiova kept 6 clean sheets in their last 10 matches.
  • Univ. Craiova scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Egnatia scored in every one of their last 10 matches.
  • Egnatia have scored in all of their last 6 away games.
Europe•Conference League
Rank 11 · 4 pts
W4d
W8d
D11d
W15d
W22d
W37d
W43d
W49d
W53d
D56d
8W · 2D · 0L
vs
Rank 20 · 2 pts
L1d
D4d
W8d
D11d
W15d
W36d
L43d
W52d
W56d
L60d
5W · 2D · 3L
Thursday, 05 November 2026 at 23:00
Upcoming. The scheduled start is still ahead. Match status has not been confirmed live.
H2H: 0-0-0
Last 10 matches
1010
24/417/12
2.401.70
0.401.20
10/1010/10
6/105/10
4/109/10
0/103/10
6/101/10
0/100/10
8/1010/10
5/107/10
4/109/10
Home & away form · from last 10 matches
Univ. Craiova at homeEgnatia away
46
3/42/6
1/41/6
0/43/6
3.001.50
0.251.33
4/46/6
3/42/6
2/41/6
1/45/6
0/43/6
3/41/6
0/40/6
2/44/6
1/45/6
Model Prediction
Expected Goals
Univ. Craiova: 2.15
Expected Goals
Egnatia: 0.75
Univ. Craiova
70%
Draw
17%
Egnatia
13%
Over 2.5: 57%
BTTS: 52%
Quality: high
Market Odds (1X2)
Vig 8.8%
1 — Univ. Craiova
1.47
Implied 63%
Edge +7.5%
X
4.30▲
Implied 21%
Edge -4.4%
2 — Egnatia
5.70▼
Implied 16%
Edge -3.1%
Edge = model probability − market implied probability. Positive edge means the model rates that outcome higher than the bookmaker.
Team 1 Form
Univ. Craiova · # = league position now
22 Oct2026
Inter Escaldes#35 vs Univ. Craiova#11
1-3W
18 Oct2026
Univ. Craiova#11 vs Farul Constanta#7
2-0W
15 Oct2026
Univ. Craiova#11 vs Getafe#30
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Csikszereda m. Ciuc#16 vs Univ. Craiova#11
0-1W
04 Oct2026
Csm Slatina vs Univ. Craiova#11
0-4W
19 Sept2026
Univ. Craiova#11 vs Fcsb#6
5-0W
13 Sept2026
Corvinul#10 vs Univ. Craiova#11
0-1W
07 Sept2026
Univ. Craiova#11 vs u. Cluj#5
4-0W
03 Sept2026
fc Bacau vs Univ. Craiova#11
1-2W
31 Aug2026
fc Rapid Bucuresti#2 vs Univ. Craiova#11
1-1D
Team 2 Form
Egnatia · # = league position now
25 Oct2026
Dinamo City vs Egnatia#20
2-1L
22 Oct2026
Aarhus#26 vs Egnatia#20
1-1D
18 Oct2026
Egnatia#20 vs Vllaznia
3-1W
15 Oct2026
Egnatia#20 vs Midtjylland#25
1-1D
11 Oct2026
Laci vs Egnatia#20
0-2W
20 Sept2026
Egnatia#20 vs Partizani
2-1W
13 Sept2026
af Elbasani vs Egnatia#20
2-1L
04 Sept2026
Egnatia#20 vs Skenderbeu
2-1W
31 Aug2026
Vora vs Egnatia#20
1-3W
27 Aug2026
Lillestrom#6 vs Egnatia#20
2-1L

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