Freiburg vs Wolfsburg

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 70%. Freiburg have 9/10 recent overs and Wolfsburg 7/10, with all six Freiburg home games over 2.5. Those include 1-3 against Bayern, 2-1 against Schalke and 4-1 against Werder Bremen. Wolfsburg drew 4-4 at Nurnberg and won 5-2 at Karlsruher SC. Model total: 4.37, with 74% on over 2.5. Main risk: Wolfsburg also had 1-1 at Bochum and 0-1 at St. Pauli, and only half their six away samples exceeded 2.5. Mixed competition levels, cup rotation and the latest 1-1 H2H lower the estimate. No current exact-market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.