Bayer Leverkusen vs Nurnberg

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 80%. Leverkusen have 10/10 recent matches with at least two goals and Nurnberg 8/10; the relevant home/away samples combine for 8/9. Leverkusen recently beat Freiburg 2-1 and RB Leipzig 2-0 at home; Nurnberg drew 1-1 at Cottbus and 2-2 at Holstein Kiel. The model expects 3.30 total goals. Main risk: Nurnberg just lost 0-1 to Kaiserslautern, Leverkusen just failed to score against Hoffenheim, and cup rotation is unconfirmed; old H2H carries little weight. No current exact-market price verified; odds omitted and price value unconfirmed.