Worthing vs Southend

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 73%. Worthing had at least three total goals in 8/10 recent games and Southend in 9/10. Worthing beat Kidderminster 2-1 and FC Halifax 2-1; Southend drew FC Halifax 2-2 and beat AFC Fylde 3-1. Southend both scored and conceded in all ten. Their league totals are 29:19 and 33:21 through 14 games; the supplied over-2.5 model is 76%. Main risk: Worthing beat Hornchurch only 1-0 and drew Yeovil 1-1; Southend drew Eastleigh 1-1. Some cup and relegation-zone opponents inflate the scoring samples, and no direct meetings are supplied. No current exact-market odds verified; price value is unconfirmed.