Sunderland vs Leeds

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Sunderland stayed below four goals in nine of ten; their last five home games were 0-2,1-0,0-2,1-0 and 1-0. Leeds recently drew 1-1 with United and 0-0 with Palace, and the four latest H 2 Hs had at most three goals. Main risk: Leeds produced 4-1 and 3-6 games, while Sunderland lost 5-3 at City; isolated high-scoring games prevent a stronger estimate. Current exact-market odds are unverified; price value is unconfirmed and odds are omitted.