Mainz vs Werder Bremen

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 5/6 Mainz games and 6/6 Werder Bremen games, including 2/2 for the hosts at home and 3/3 for the visitors away. Every current Bremen league game clears one goal; Mainz's recent meetings with Leverkusen, Frankfurt, Gladbach and Hamburg were also multi-goal. Main risk: Mainz just won 1-0 at Schalke and earlier drew 0-0 with Paderborn; H2Hs tend to be tighter. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.