Lincoln vs Burnley

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 76%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 6/9 Lincoln games and 8/8 Burnley games, including 3/4 for the hosts at home and 3/3 for the visitors away. Burnley's recent trips include 4-0 at Watford, 1-3 at Swansea and 1-1 at Wrexham; Lincoln's latest home matches were 0-6 and 1-2. Main risk: Lincoln have a recent 0-0 at home and several 1-0 away wins. The West Ham rout is an outlier, and the old H2Hs are too remote to support the estimate. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.