Lincoln vs Burnley

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Burnley favourites at 45% (Lincoln 33%, draw 22%). Lincoln come in with the better recent form (3 wins from 10 to 1), which keeps it from being more one-sided. It put over 2.5 goals at 44% and both teams scoring at 57%. Lincoln won 4-1, against the model's 45% for Burnley.

Key facts before the match

• They last met on 18 Feb 2017, when Lincoln won 1-0.