Bolton vs Middlesbrough

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 74%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 6/8 Bolton games and 7/9 Middlesbrough games, including 2/3 for the hosts at home and 4/5 for the visitors away. Bolton's recent home losses were 1-2 to Stoke and 2-3 to West Ham; Middlesbrough's latest away win was 3-2 at Stoke and three of their last four league games contained four or more goals. Main risk: Bolton just drew 0-0 at Southampton and beat Cardiff only 1-0; Middlesbrough also have two recent 1-0 wins. Old H2Hs and the Palace cup defeat are discounted. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted and no proven price edge is claimed.