Bolton vs Middlesbrough

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Middlesbrough favourites at 62% (Bolton 19%, draw 19%). That rests on expected goals of 2.05 to 1.01, 5 wins in Middlesbrough's last 10 matches to 3 for Bolton and 10 wins from the last 10 meetings to 0. It put over 2.5 goals at 59% and both teams scoring at 49%. Middlesbrough won 5-1, as the model expected.

Key facts before the match

• Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 6 matches.
• They last met on 20 Jul 2024, when Middlesbrough won 3-0.