Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 72%. Since 1 September, this exact market landed in 6/8 Ararat-Armenia games and 5/7 AZ Alkmaar games, including 3/3 for the hosts at home and 3/4 for the visitors away. Ararat-Armenia's Europa League games finished 1-3 at Jagiellonia and 1-4 against Sparta Prague; AZ's latest three games were 2-2, 2-1 and 0-2. Main risk: Ararat also won two recent games 1-0, and AZ had consecutive 1-0 results against Sunderland and Telstar; no H2H evidence is available. No current exact-market decimal price is verified; odds are omitted.