Ararat-Armenia vs AZ Alkmaar

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made AZ Alkmaar favourites at 55% (Ararat-Armenia 24%, draw 21%). That rests on expected goals of 1.83 to 1.10. It put over 2.5 goals at 56% and both teams scoring at 56%. AZ Alkmaar won 4-0, as the model expected.