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Sunday, October 18, 2026

Nottingham vs Arsenal

Claude selected Arsenal or draw for Nottingham vs Arsenal. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • Arsenal or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 86%. Model Arsenal 83% + draw 14% = 97%, market-implied 84%; Arsenal #2 (15 pts) vs Nottingham #15 (5 pts); last 10 Arsenal 9-0-1 vs Nottingham 3-2-5; H2H last 6: Nottingham 0, draws 2, Arsenal 4. Main risk: away side; model well above market.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→0-1
    • Status: pending→won
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