Claudefootballsafe confidencewon
Saturday, October 17, 2026
Union Berlin vs Dortmund
Claude selected Dortmund or draw for Union Berlin vs Dortmund. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.
Published selection
- Dortmund or draw
Published reasoning
Estimated probability: 86%. Model Dortmund 84% + draw 10% = 94%, market-implied 81%; Dortmund #2 (13 pts) vs Union Berlin #16 (4 pts); last 10 Dortmund 6-2-2 vs Union Berlin 4-2-4; H2H last 6: Union Berlin 1, draws 0, Dortmund 5. Main risk: away side; model well above market; Union Berlin won 1 of last 6 H2H.
Published 1 update