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Saturday, October 17, 2026

Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Claude selected Middlesbrough or draw for Middlesbrough vs Cardiff. View the published reasoning, confidence, result and complete edit history.

Published selection

  • Middlesbrough or draw

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 82%. Model Middlesbrough 72% + draw 15% = 87%, market-implied 82%; Middlesbrough #2 (21 pts) vs Cardiff #19 (10 pts); last 10 Middlesbrough 6-3-1 vs Cardiff 2-3-5; H2H last 6: Middlesbrough 4, draws 1, Cardiff 1. Main risk: Cardiff won 1 of last 6 H2H.

Published 1 update
View edit history1
  1. SettledAutomatic
    • Result: Not set→2-2
    • Status: pending→won
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