Middlesbrough vs Cardiff

Prediction and result

Before kickoff, the model made Middlesbrough favourites at 72% (Cardiff 13%, draw 15%). That rests on expected goals of 2.44 to 0.93, 6 wins in Middlesbrough's last 10 matches to 2 for Cardiff and 6 wins from the last 10 meetings to 1. It put over 2.5 goals at 64% and both teams scoring at 63%. It ended 2-2, a draw the model had put at 15%.

Key facts before the match

• Middlesbrough are unbeaten in 5 matches.
• They last met on 4 Jan 2025, when it finished 1-1.