Ayr vs Stenhousemuir

Published reasoning

Estimated probability: 78%. Seven of Ayr's last ten and nine of Stenhousemuir's last ten completed games stayed below four goals. Stenhousemuir have conceded only twice in seven league matches and their latest two results were 1-0 wins over Arbroath and Partick Thistle. Ayr's latest result was 2-0 at Queen's Park. Main risk: Ayr recently lost 1-3 to Inverness, and Stenhousemuir also had a 3-1 result against Inverness; the old H2Hs are not reliable guides to today's squads.